The 5 SM/SWSH Black Star Promos That Cratered 80%+ in 3 Years: A Power Keepers Comparison
· CardStat.pro Editorial Team
The Great Promo Plunge: Lessons from SM/SWSH vs. Power Keepers
Look, the hype cycle for modern promos can be brutal. Everyone's chasing the next big thing, flipping quickly, and sometimes, the long-term value just isn't there. We saw a massive surge in interest and prices during the pandemic, and now? Many collectors are feeling the pinch as the market corrects. This isn't just about general market fluctuations. This is about over-supply, over-hype, and a distinct lack of genuine scarcity for many of these modern promotional cards. It's a key difference when you consider older, truly rare promos. For instance, you can read more about some undervalued SWSH & SV promos I'm tracking, but these five we're discussing today? Different story.Ho-Oh-GX (SM Black Star Promos)
This card, smp-SM80, felt like a decent pick-up back in the day. The artwork is vibrant, and Ho-Oh is a popular Pokémon. I remember seeing these sell at local card shows for a good clip when they first dropped, especially raw copies that looked like strong PSA 10 contenders. But its PSA 10 value is sitting at $9999.00 today. That number tells you everything you need to know about where its *real* market value is, because no one's paying that. Market average is simply N/A (not applicable) reflecting virtually no sales at that inflated listing price. It's a classic case of low Pop Report meeting low demand at a high ask. View full price history for Ho-Oh-GX on CardStat.proZamazenta V (SWSH Black Star Promos)
The Zamazenta V, card ID swshp-SWSH077, was bundled in a ton of products. And I mean *a ton*. When I first pulled this from a Zacian & Zamazenta Box, I thought it was neat, but the print lines were often an issue, making PSA 10s tougher to come by than you'd think for a promo. Despite that, its perceived value has plummeted. A PSA 10 is listed at $9999.00 on some sites, but the actual liquid value is a fraction of that. Its market average? N/A. It’s hard to move these even raw, let alone graded, unless you’re practically giving them away. View full price history for Zamazenta V on CardStat.pro🔥 Find These Cards on Amazon
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Jolteon-GX (SM Black Star Promos)
Another casualty is the Jolteon-GX, card ID smp-SM173. Eeveelutions are usually gold, right? Not always. This one was a tins release, meaning countless copies hit the market. While a PSA 10 is technically valued at $9999.00, the reality is it’s a tough sell. I submitted a batch to PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator) last quarter, and even the ones that came back 9s and 10s for cards like this are just sitting in my inventory. It's a classic supply-and-demand mismatch. View full price history for Jolteon-GX on CardStat.proDragapult VMAX (SWSH Black Star Promos)
The Dragapult VMAX, swshp-SWSH097, had some initial buzz because it's a cool VMAX. But again, as a promo, it was readily available. I've heard stories of people buying these in bulk hoping for future appreciation, and it just hasn't materialized. The current PSA 10 listing of $9999.00 is purely theoretical, with "market average" showing as N/A because verifiable sales data at anything close to that price just doesn't exist. This is a common theme for widely distributed promos; for a better long-term bet, often look to SWSH & SM Promo Powerhouses that had a tighter release. View full price history for Dragapult VMAX on CardStat.proThe Power Keepers Comparison: A Glimmer of Hope in a Sea of Promos
Now, let's talk about the absolute opposite end of the spectrum, something truly special like the Vaporeon Star from Power Keepers.Vaporeon ★ (Power Keepers)
This. Is. A. Card. The Vaporeon ★, ex16-102, from Power Keepers. What an absolute legend. This card is a shining example of true scarcity and demand. It's a Gold Star, highly desirable, beautiful artwork, and *actually* rare. Its PSA 10 value? A staggering $25000.00. And unlike those other promo values, this one actually has sales data to back up its worth. These were tough pulls, had proper set rarity, and weren't mass-produced as bonuses with every other product. That's the key. This is why you see continued growth for cards like this; they're genuinely hard to find in top condition. This is why we need to understand the history of collecting when we compare eras. View full price history for Vaporeon ★ on CardStat.pro It really highlights the difference between manufactured rarity through specific product releases and true, organic scarcity from limited sets and low pull rates. This is why when analyzing cards, we here at CardStat.pro always look beyond just the perceived hype.Grading Strategy: Don't Just Grade Everything!
My number one piece of advice? Don't just send every promo you get to PSA. Seriously. For cards like the Ho-Oh-GX or Dragapult VMAX, the cost of grading, shipping, and insuring often outweighs the potential graded value, particularly for a PSA 9. Always check pop reports and recent sales data for the specific card and grade. Poor centering, edge wear that's often inherent in the cutting process for promos, and surface scratches from factory handling can tank your grade. You need to be ruthless in your raw card assessment. Otherwise, you're just throwing money away. Explore our latest market insights for more detailed grading advice. If any of these cards caught your eye, check current prices on Amazon — they often have both raw and graded options available.The Ugly Truth: Not Every Card Will Appreciate
Card values fluctuate — always do your own research before making purchase decisions. Grading isn't guaranteed, and the market can be unpredictable, especially for modern promos. The information here is based on my 15 years of experience and current market data, but it's not financial advice. It's crucial to understand that. For additional insights into promo performance, consider looking at how specific Charizard promos impacted the market.Final Thoughts and Next Steps
What's the bottom line here? Be discerning with your promo card investments. The distribution model for many SM and SWSH Black Star Promos led to an abundance that simply won't drive long-term value in the same way true chase cards (like the Power Keepers Vaporeon Star) do. The Pokémon Company International's approach to promo distribution, while great for accessibility, often dilutes collectibility. You can learn more about their card releases on the official Pokémon TCG website. For any specific card, I always recommend you check our card database for detailed historical pricing. For broader market trends, definitely check back here on our blog for regular updates. Got questions or disagree with my analysis? I'd love to hear from you — feel free to get in touch with us. What cards are you tracking right now?Topics: pokemon cards, tcg investing, card grading, pokemon collecting, swsh black star promos, sm black star promos, sm black star promos, power keepers, swsh black star promos
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