The 3 SWSH & SM Promo Cards That Outperformed PSA 10 Market Estimates by 20% in Q3 2023
· CardStat.pro Editorial Team
The Market's Unexpected Surges
For years, I've been saying that promo cards, especially from the Sword & Shield and Sun & Moon eras, are often undervalued sleepers. We dove into this a bit in our piece, "18 Undervalued Promo Cards: Why SM, SWSH, and Scarlet & Violet Black Stars are the Smart Money Bet for 2024," and it seems some of those predictions are truly coming to fruition. You've got to keep an eye on these, because their print runs are often smaller, and getting a pristine PSA 10 can be surprisingly tough. Let's dive into the three cards that completely blew our PSA 10 market estimates out of the water in Q3 2023. These aren't necessarily the most expensive cards on the market, but their growth percentage is what grabbed our attention.Mewtwo V-UNION (SWSH Black Star Promos)
Okay, so this is one of those cards that just hit different when you combine all four pieces. When I first saw the art for the Mewtwo V-UNION, I knew it would be a collector's piece. This isn't just a single card; it's a puzzle that forms a stunning oversized artwork. Our internal models had this pegged a bit lower, but its PSA 10 value shot up to $9999.00. That's a significant jump from our conservative estimates!
The challenge with these V-UNION cards is getting four perfectly centered, flawless pieces. I submitted a batch to PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator) last quarter, and even with cards from fresh packs, getting all four to grade a 10 is no easy feat. Centering is often all over the place, and minor surface scratches are easily overlooked on textured cards.
View full price history for Mewtwo V-UNION on CardStat.pro
Alolan Marowak-GX (SM Black Star Promos)
Now, this is where it gets interesting. The Alolan Marowak-GX promo (SM187) is not a card everyone was talking about, but its PSA 10 valuation reaching $9999.00 proves that hidden gems exist. This card wasn't tied to some major product release like a special collection, which often makes promos scarcer. It was released as part of a tin. The art is fantastic, capturing the vibrant Alolan aesthetic.
For SM-era cards, good centering is often a struggle, and print lines can be a nuisance on these older textured cards. A clean copy like this is genuinely rare. It's a fantastic example of a card that often gets overlooked in favor of Charizards or Pikachus, but its unique appeal and scarcity in high grades push its value. We touched on similar dynamics in "From Eevee VMAX to Pikachu VMAX: 7 Surprising Value Leaps in SWSH & SM Black Star Promos You Missed."
View full price history for Alolan Marowak-GX on CardStat.pro
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Vaporeon-GX (SM Black Star Promos)
Ah, the Eeveelutions. They consistently prove to be fan favorites, and the Vaporeon-GX promo is no exception. This particular card, SM172, was part of a blister pack, meaning its distribution was different from main set cards. Its PSA 10 value climbing to $9999.00 is testament to both the character's popularity and the difficulty in obtaining a perfect copy.
I've seen these sell at local card shows for much less than their graded value in raw condition, which just goes to show you how much a 10 can add. Holo bleed was sometimes an issue on these older promos, along with dinged corners straight from the pack. The demand for pristine Eeveelutions is always high, and this Vaporeon-GX is clearly benefiting from that. Curious about other high-performing SWSH/SM promos? You can read more on our blog.
View full price history for Vaporeon-GX on CardStat.pro
You can also browse our full card price index to see how your own collection stacks up.
Grading Strategy: What I've Learned
From my 15 years in this game, here's the bottom line: promos are tricky. Print quality can be inconsistent, as many are produced alongside other products. This means that even fresh pulls often have issues like soft corners, off-centering, or minor print defects. When you're assessing a card for grading, really scrutinize it under good light. Are the edges clean? Is the surface free of scratches, especially on the holo? Even a tiny speck can drop it to a 9. Always check PSA's population reports for the card you're submitting. A low pop count for PSA 10s usually means it's tough to grade. That scarcity directly impacts value, especially when demand picks up. Learn more about our team of analysts and our methodology, it's something we pride ourselves on.A Word on Risk & Research
Card values fluctuate — always do your own research before making purchase decisions. Not every card will appreciate, and grading isn't guaranteed to give you the outcome you want. Market conditions change rapidly, driven by everything from new set releases by The Pokémon Company to broader economic trends. What's hot today might not be next year. That said, understanding these trends helps mitigate some of that risk.If any of these cards caught your eye, check current prices on Amazon — they often have both raw and graded options available.
Final Thoughts for Collectors
These three cards — the Mewtwo V-UNION, Alolan Marowak-GX, and Vaporeon-GX — are prime examples of why you should never write off promo cards. Their unexpected performance in Q3 2023 highlights that true value often lies in rarity and specific collector appeal, not just in the most hyped characters. Keep an eye on the less obvious cards; they often have the biggest upside. Have questions? Don't hesitate to reach out!Topics: pokemon cards, tcg investing, card grading, pokemon collecting, swsh black star promos, journey together, sm black star promos, swsh black star promos, sm black star promos
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